ASA MLB Total of the Week! DUAL 75% MLB RUNS!
- Handicapper
- ASA, Inc.
- League
- MLB
- Competition
- Los Angeles Angels vs Atlanta Braves
- Release Date
- 07/02/2025 02:23 PM
- Event Date
- 07/02/2025 07:15 PM
- Bet Type
- Over / Under
- Pick
-
Los Angeles Angels vs Atlanta Braves Over 9.5 (-110)
(BetMGM)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- #973/974 ASA TOP PLAY ON Over 9.5 Runs – Los Angeles Angels at Atlanta Braves, Wednesday at 7:15 PM ET - The Angels won yesterday's game 4-0 but today's game should play out much differently. Prior to that low-scoring shutout win for Los Angeles, 6 of their last 8 games had totaled at least 10 runs! Also, when you look at the low ERA of Yusei Kikuchi this season and the fact the Braves were shutout yesterday you might be surprised to see a total of 9.5 runs on this one. However, there are plenty of good reasons! For starters, Kikuchi has struggled on the road this season as he has been great at home but is 0-5 with a 4.47 ERA in his 9 road starts this season. Also, the Braves lineup has a number of hitters who have had success against him. In looking at the Braves pitcher for this one, Didier Fuentes is likely to struggle again. In the minors this year he is 0-7 with a 4.81 ERA! Given numbers like that, it is no surprise that he has been crushed in both his MLB starts since coming up to the Braves. Fuentes has allowed 10 earned runs in 8 and 1/3 innings so far with Atlanta. He faces an Angels team that has been scoring well of late as they have averaged 6.4 runs in their last 9 games. The Braves are off B2B home losses in which they struggled at the plate but they had scored 5.6 runs per game in their last 9 home games prior to that. The Braves can take advantage of an Angels bullpen that ranks 27th in the majors for relievers' ERA. As for the Atlanta bullpen, they have blown half their 24 save chances this season! We look for runs throughout this match-up as both starting pitchers are likely to struggle and we expect the Braves to bounce back off the recent home disappointment while the Angels stay red hot at the plate. Our computer math model projects a total of 11 to 12 runs here and even if it only gets to 10 that is still a winning ticket for us. We are going with the Over in this one.